Inside the Numbers: Ole Miss Offense
Oct. 12, 2016

By Dylan Edwards,

Through the first five games of the season, the only unit that has seemed capable of slowing down Ole Miss’ offense is Ole Miss’ offense.

When Ole Miss does not turn the ball over, the Rebels have been nearly impossible to stop. They’ve rolled up at least 30 points in every game this season. Extending to last season, their current streak of nine-straight 30+ point games ranks as the second longest active streak in the nation.

The Rebels have been able to roll up the points in droves by being one of the most explosive offenses in the country. Ole Miss ranks fifth in the nation with 36 percent of all plays resulting in a first down or a touchdown. That’s probably because more than 1/4 of all plays (27.1 percent) pick up 10 yards or more, the third best percentage in the country.

Adding to that, no team in the SEC makes more out of its drives than Ole Miss. The Rebels score on nearly half of all drives at 47.7 percent, the best percentage in the conference.

Obviously, a big reason for Ole Miss’ offense success this season is because of quarterback Chad Kelly. The Buffalo, New York, native has produced 27 plays this season that picked up 20-or-more yards, the most in the SEC this season.

It’s worth noting that Ole Miss has played one fewer game than some other SEC teams. Despite that, Kelly ranks in the top-five in the SEC in total yards, TDs responsible for, completions and passing yards.

Few other QBs can push the ball down the field like Kelly. Over 20 percent of his passes travel 20 yards in the air. Overall, his passes travel an average of 10.9 yards in the air, the seventh-highest mark among Power 5 QBs. He still ranks 11th among Power 5 QBs in completion percentage. To put in context how special that is, the six QBs that average longer throws rank 44th, 45th, 48th, 50th, 59th and 67th in completion percentage.

What also makes his ability to throw the ball down the field is the amount of times defenses drop seven against him. Of his 174 pass attempts this season, 137 of them were when the defense brought four or fewer pass rushers.

When he has time to throw, he averages an absurd 10.3 yards per attempt and completes 72 percent of his passes. For comparison, the Power 5 average when not pressured is a completion percentage of 66 percent and a yards per attempt of 8.2.

Of course, it helps to have the weapons he does at his disposal. Evan Engram ranks 11th nationally in receiving yards among all pass catches and has nearly 100 more yards than the nearest TE. Ole Miss already has five players with more than 10 catches on the season.

So yes, Ole Miss’ offense has been really, really good. And keep in mind, no team has played more top-15 opponents this season than the Rebels.






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